BLUF: Potential for plus hit and plus power that holds up with a right-field profile.
The Player: Oswaldo Arcia (OF, Minnesota Twins) – The Twins signed Arcia at the opening of the international signing period in 2007 and he debuted in the Dominican Summer League in 2008. Arcia raked his way through the GCL and Appy Leagues in 2009 and 2010 before hitting .352/.420/.704 in half a season at Low-A in 2011. The Twins promoted him to High-A for the second half in 2011 and he hit solidly as a 20-year old in the FSL. Arcia played at two levels again in 2012, posting a .309/.376/.517 line in 55 High-A games and then hit .328/.398/.557 in 69 games at Double-A.
Basis of Report: Compilation – Personal Observation (Eastern League 2012), Industry Contacts
Body (6-0, 210): Described by one scout as a bowling ball. Looks shorter than listed height. Thick legs and overall lower half. Good strength. Likely to continue filling out as he reaches physical peak. Lost much of his athleticism over the last two years. Thick, strong body.
Hit: Very balanced in the box. Stays back on all types of pitches and has greatly improved pitch recognition and patience. Works counts but is willing to be aggressive early if he gets a mistake or a fastball to drive. Handles velo well. Uses the whole field and is starting to develop ability to turn on the ball. Good contact ability with easy hit projection. Potential plus hitter with some on-base ability as well. Nearly there as a hitter with only exposure to premium pitching needed to polish his game. Grade – 50/60
Power: Good raw. Shows ability to drive the ball to both gaps and has started to turn on it and power it out of the park. Strong arms and wrists. Easy power to all fields. Potential for 20 home runs annually, augmented by plenty of doubles. Power is still developing in game situations and will take time to manifest fully in the big leagues. Grade (raw power) – 50/60
Arm: Arm strength varies but consistently shows above-average arm. Some throws will dip to average range and others will pump at plus level. Average release. Enough arm for right field. High 50. Grade – 50/50
Fielding: Solid instincts in the OF. Shows some potential for above-average defense. Continues to lose speed with physical maturity. Limited to right field defensively but can be an asset there in time. Fringe-average right now but should make quick strides given intelligence and feel for the game. Grade – 40/50
Speed: Previously average. Below-average run now and could still slow down further at physical peak. Tries hard, just doesn’t have the quickness for better speed down the line or in the outfield. Grade – 40/40
Summation: Quickly approaching big league readiness. Has plus hit and power projection and only needs some polish to make it all happen at the big league level. Should hit for average right away and on-base ability should follow soon after. Potential .280-.290 hitter on a consistent basis. HR power may come more slowly but gap power will manifest almost immediately. Power ceiling of 30 doubles, 20 home runs. Drives the ball with ease. Middle-of-the-order threat with offensive profile that stands up on OF corner. Potential average to slightly better defense in right field with above-average arm. Speed won’t be a factor in any facet of the game. Potential to be quality everyday guy with only nominal above-average to plus overall projection.
Relative Risk: Low. Polished offensive game with success at the upper levels; well-rounded overall profile.
Future: The Twins have been more aggressive with Arcia than they have been with other prospects because he has forced their hand. He proved he could handle Double-A pitching in 2012 and he has a chance to jump right to Triple-A out of spring training. Regardless, he will reach the level before the end of the season. Given the dearth of impact bats in the Twins big league lineup, Arcia should reach Minnesota at some point in 2013 and he could be an impact player for them as soon as 2014.