BLUF: Star potential at third base with great defense and plus-plus power.
The Player: Mike Olt (3B, Texas Rangers) – Supplemental first-round pick by the Rangers out of Connecticut in 2010. Signed quickly and posted a .293/.390/.464 line in 69 games in the Northwest League in debut. Hit .267 with 15 doubles and 14 home runs in 69 games with High-A Myrtle Beach in 2011. Missed a large part of the 2011 season with a broken collarbone. Hitting .287/.397/.580 with 15 doubles and a whopping 26 home runs in 87 games at Double-A this year.
Basis of Report: Compilation – Industry Contacts
Body (6-2, 210): Physical, mature and strong body. Really good frame with tons of natural strength. Solid athleticism with fluid movements and good coordination for a man of his build.
Hit: Very good knowledge of the strike zone and outstanding pitch recognition skills. Aggressive swinger that doesn’t get cheated at the plate. Lots of swing and miss because of aggression in swing. Makes enough contact for average hit tool and for power to play in game situations. Can work into good counts and finds pitches to drive to all fields. Will frequently miss on quality breaking balls but has improved. Would struggle right now but has aptitude and work ethic to project for average hit. Grade – 40/50
Power: Plus-plus bat speed, strength and leverage in swing generate jaw-dropping power at times. Hits enough for power to translate. Can drive ball out to all fields and trusts strength to generate oppo power. Easy plus raw power with projection for plus-plus an totals approaching 30 per season. Grade (raw power) – 60/70
Arm: Can make every throw from 3B. Good strength and carry on throws. Plenty of velocity. Easy plus arm. Grade – 60/60
Fielding: Former SS. Really smooth at 3B. Excellent reactions and first step. Moves well to both sides. Has plus range with good hands and ability to make routine and spectacular plays. Arm works at the position. Total package defensively. Grade – 60/60
Speed: Strong and physical frame hurts running ability. Below-average home-to-first times. Good enough athlete to maintain speed and avoid becoming a problem. Grade – 40/40
Summation: Impressive player. Carries himself like a big leaguer. Confident, at times cocky, but not in a bad way. Has leadership ability. Potential for 30 home runs a year with walks and .270-.275 average. Run producing third baseman with easy plus defense and arm. All-Star caliber player that can be a cornerstone piece in a championship lineup.
Relative Risk: Low. Some minor concern over swing and miss. Power and defense are so impressive the risk is low.
Future: Currently terrorizing the Texas League and could probably hit for power in the big leagues right now. Some scouts feel he could use some additional polish at Triple-A, but should be in the big leagues to stay in 2013, though maybe not with the Rangers. Potentially consistent All-Star.